Economic and Statistical Analysis of the Transformation of Foreign Trade in Goods of the Russian Forestry Industry
https://doi.org/10.26794/2408-9303-2026-13-3-74-84
Abstract
The objective of the article is to render an economic and statistical analysis of the transformation of foreign trade in goods of the Russian timber industry in the context of increasing sanctions pressure and changing the configuration of global commodity flows. The relevance of the study is to justify the significant role of the timber industry in the export specialisation of the Russian Federation, as well as the need to assess the sustainability of its foreign trade relations in the new external economic conditions. The purpose of the study is to identify key trends, structural shifts and national specific features of the transformation of exports of goods from the Russian forestry industry. The methodological basis of the work includes an economic and statistical approach combining structural and comparative analysis, as well as a critical synthesis of scientific publications on the timber industry and foreign trade. The empirical base consists of data from international trade statistics provided by the analysis of mirror flows for the period 2006–2024. The study focuses on two key commodity groups of the EAEU HS: group 44 “Wood and products made from it, charcoal” and group 48 “Paper and cardboard; products made of paper pulp, paper or cardboard”, considered in the context of the largest importing countries and the main inter-country groupings. The results of the study also indicate that for some states, the increase in imports of Russian forest products is associated with a high dependence of their own exports on these supplies, which shows an increase in intermediary and redistributive functions in the modern architecture of foreign trade.
About the Author
V. V. Popov
Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Valery V. Popov — Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Assoc. Prof., Prof. of the Department of Business Analytics at the Faculty of Taxes, Auditing and Business Analysis
Moscow
References
1. Kolesnikova A. V. Analysis of the development of sawmilling production and sawn timber exports in the Siberian and Far Eastern Federal Districts. Aktual’nye voprosy ekonomicheskikh nauk = Topical Issues of Economic Sciences. 2015;(45):47-51. (In Russ.).
2. Gil’midinov E. R. Innovative technologies in risk management and big data analysis in sawn timber production. Ekonomika i menedzhment innovatsionnykh tekhnologii = Economics and Management of Innovative Technologies. 2025;(1). (In Russ.).
3. Milyushenko O. A., Shcherbak I. A. Analysis and assessment of the efficiency of implementing zero-waste production in the sawn timber market. In: Molodezh’ tret’ego tysyacheletiya: sbornik nauchnykh statey XLII regional’noy studencheskoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii, Omsk, 02-27 aprelya 2018 goda. Omsk: Omskiy gosudarstvennyy universitet im. F. M. Dostoevskogo; 2018:411-415. (In Russ.).
4. Tret’yakov A. G. Efficiency of wood consumption in the forest industry sector and economic accessibility of forest resources. Ekonomicheskie nauki = Economic Sciences. 2014;(119):29-33. (In Russ.).
5. Bulgakova M. A. Competitive advantages of wood products and risks arising in their sale on the Russian consumer market. Rossiyskoe konkurentnoe pravo i ekonomika = Russian Competition Law and Economy. 2019;(1):38-43. (In Russ.).
6. Pinyagina N. B., Gorshenina N. S. Analysis of the current state and prospects for the strategic development of the Russian forest complex. Ekonomika i predprinimatel’stvo = Economy and Entrepreneurship. 2017;(8-4):588-604. (In Russ.).
7. Samylina V. G., Gitel’man E. B. Timber industry complex of the Vologda region and its efficiency. Ekologiya promyshlennogo proizvodstva = Ecology of Industrial Production. 2015;(1):59-64. (In Russ.).
8. Tsarev A. P. Diversity of poplar wood uses. Izvestiya vysshikh uchebnykh zavedeniy. Lesnoy zhurnal = Proceedings of Higher Educational Institutions. Forest Journal. 2018;(5):48-64. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.17238/issn0536-1036.2018.5.48
9. Tsypin A. P. Retrospective analysis of butter production in the post-Soviet countries. Molochnaya promyshlennost’ = Dairy Industry. 2025;(4):74-83. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.21603/1019-8946-2025-4-48
10. Shaylieva M. M., Makeev M. Yu. Comparative analysis of the effectiveness of trade policies in the context of a state’s integration into global economic systems. Aktual’nye problemy i perspektivy razvitiya ekonomiki: rossiyskiy i zarubezhnyy opyt = Current Problems and Prospects of Economic Development: Russian and Foreign Experience. 2025;(S1-2):71-84. (In Russ.).
11. Pankova S. V. Application of economic analysis methods in assessing the economic security of a region. In: Nauka i obrazovanie: fundamental’nye osnovy, tekhnologii, innovatsii. Materialy Vserossiyskoy nauchno-metodicheskoy konferentsii, posvyashchennoy 70‑letiyu Orenburgskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta, Orenburg, 17–20 sentyabrya 2025 goda. Orenburg: Orenburgskiy gosudarstvennyy universitet; 2025:1878-1881. (In Russ.).
12. Tuyakova Z. S., Chukina P. S. Analysis of changes in the estimated values of fixed assets of milk-processing enterprises in modern accounting. In: Problemy i perspektivy razvitiya uchetno-analiticheskoy i kontrol’noy sistemy v usloviyakh tsifrovizatsii ekonomicheskikh protsessov. Materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii, posvyashchennoy 30‑letiyu kafedry bukhgalterskogo ucheta, analiza i audita, Orenburg, 19–20 noyabrya 2024 goda. Orenburg: Orenburgskiy gosudarstvennyy universitet; 2024:256-261. (In Russ.).
13. Kotlobay A., Lopina O., Kharchenkov Yu., et al. Assessment of the volume of wood of suspicious origin and analysis of the practice of implementing wood origin traceability systems: In a number of heavily forested regions of the Northwest, Siberia and the Far East of Siberia. Moscow: Vsemirnyy fond dikoy prirody; 2006. 56 p. (In Russ.).
14. Karkhova S. A. Study of the structure of forest product exports from the Irkutsk region. Fundamental’nye issledovaniya = Fundamental Research. 2018;(6):127-132. (In Russ.).
15. Zykin I. V. Regional timber industry complexes of the European North of the USSR in the strategy of the first five-year plan. Uchenye zapiski Petrozavodskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta = Proceedings of Petrozavodsk State University. 2020;42(8):44-53. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.15393/uchz.art.2020.549
16. Pobyarzhina T. P., Chernysheva A. V. The role of pulp and paper production in the industrial complex of the Republic of Belarus. Pravo. Ekonomika. Psikhologiya = Law. Economics. Psychology. 2021;(3):50-56. (In Russ.).
17. Pronyaeva L. I., Pavlova A. V., Fedotenkova O. A. Development of the country’s forest complex: trends and prospects. Natsional’nye interesy: prioritety i bezopasnost’ = National Interests: Priorities and Security. 2020;16(10):1834-1856. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.24891/ni.16.10.1834
18. Lorensani R. G.M., Gonçalves R. Machine learning algorithms and nondestructive methods for estimating wood density in planted forest trees. Forests. 2025;16(2):376. DOI: 10.3390/f16020376. 19. Pursio H., Siukola A., Savinainen M., et al. Associations between work resources and work ability among forestry professionals. Sustainability. 2021;13(9):4822. DOI: 10.3390/su13094822
19. Sangsing W., Rianthakool L., Na Takuathung Ch., et al. Utilizing terrestrial laser scanning for estimating commercial teak volume: A Case Study of Mae Chang Forest Plantation, Mae Mo District, Lampang Province. Thai Forest Ecological Research Journal. 2025;9(1):1-18. DOI: 10.34044/tferj.2025.9.1.6085
20. Barrett T. M., Christensen G. A. Forests of southeast and south-central Alaska, 2004-2008: Five-year forest inventory and analysis report. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report PNW. 2011;(835):1-156.
Review
For citations:
Popov V.V. Economic and Statistical Analysis of the Transformation of Foreign Trade in Goods of the Russian Forestry Industry. Accounting. Analysis. Auditing. 2026;13(3):74-84. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.26794/2408-9303-2026-13-3-74-84
Views:
69
JATS XML
.png)
.png)
Email this article 
